The pace of the second wave of Corona in the country is extremely fast. The Corona growth rate in March has surpassed the previous year’s record. In March, Corona has shown a glimpse of its pace and there is a speculation that it will be at its peak in April. Scientists predict that by the middle of this month, the corona will be at its peak and may wreak havoc across the country. However, there is also a possibility of a fall after this. Meanwhile, during a review meeting on Friday with the Chief Secretaries and Senior Officers of 11 states, Cabinet Secretary Rajiv Gauba said that the corona pace in March was 6.8 per cent. Whereas in June last year, the highest growth was recorded at 5.5 per cent.
Gauba in a meeting with Chief Secretaries, Health Secretaries, Police Chiefs and Senior Officers of 11 states and Union Territories Maharashtra, Punjab, Karnataka, Kerala, Chhattisgarh, Chandigarh, Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, Tamil Nadu, Delhi and Haryana most affected by Corona infection Said that the situation in these states is worrisome. In the last 15 days, 90 percent of Corona infections and deaths have been reported in these states. Many states have crossed the previous peak. Many have reached the peak.
He said that in September 2020, the corona infection reached a peak of 97 thousand. Now it has reached 81 thousand again. The daily growth rate of infections is 5.5 percent. The situation in Maharashtra is most worrisome. The state has been asked to take effective steps. He said that in Tier-2 and Tier-3 and semi-urban areas, there is an increase in corona cases. It’s a topic of concern.
Corona was at peak in September
The peak of Corona’s first wave in the country was on 15–16 September, when more than 97 thousand new cases were reported. Since then, new cases had started coming down. Relief was seen till February, but as soon as March, the corona cases again increased. On Friday, more than 81 thousand cases were reported in the country and it is feared that there will be a big increase in it every day.
Second wave of Corona at its peak in April
Using a mathematical model, scientists have predicted that the second wave of the global Kovid-19 global pandemic will reach its peak in mid-April, after which there may be a significant drop in infection cases by the end of May. During the first wave of corona infection in India, this mathematical approach named ‘sutra’ predicted that cases of infection would initially increase in August and peak until September and then subside in February 2021. Other scientists, including IIT Kanpur’s Manindra Agarwal, used this model to predict the current upward trend in infection cases and found that the new wave of infection will reach its peak in mid-April in the ongoing wave of global epidemics. .
Coronal form of corona from 15 to 20 April
According to Manitra Agarwal of IIT Kanpur, in the last several days, we found that there is a lot of apprehension that cases in India will go up between April 15 and 20. It is a very fast rising graph, but the drop in cases will be equally fast and by the end of May, the cases will be very less. He said, “Due to the rapid growth, there is some uncertainty in estimating the peak number of new daily cases. Currently, close to one lakh cases are coming up every day but this can increase or decrease. But the time will be the same between April 15 to 20. ‘
Many types of instructions to states
1. Increase state testing to bring down the positivity rate below five percent
2. Take 70% RTPCR Test
3. Tests were asked to ensure the results soon
4. Get Rapid Tests done at crowded places
5. Get RTPCR test on rapid test negative arrival
6. Place the infected in institutional isolation centers
7. Monitoring the patients being treated at home
8. Test 25 to 30 contacts within 72 hours
9. Increase Containment Zone and Micro Containment Zone
10. Apart from awareness campaign, ensure 100% vaccination in all approved groups